Best bets for VSiN's BetCast: Manchester City-Leeds

By Nigel Seeley  (VSiN.com) 

Last week, we landed a couple of wagers in my first VSiN EPL previews. This weekend, I will be hoping to do the same again.

The match that I will be commentating on for this week’s VSiN's BetCast is the mouthwatering clash between newly-promoted Leeds and Manchester City , kicking off Saturday at 12:30 p.m. ET. LISTEN HERE.

This looks the perfect time to face Manchester City after last weekend’s embarrassing 5-2 home loss to Leicester and how City can be rated by the books as a -300 favorite for this is crazy to me.

City have big problems in defense with big players injured, and alarmingly they are conceding goals for fun. In attack they are also missing big players, including main striker Sergio Aguero.

Leeds have been a breath of fresh air in the EPL and their attacking style of play under the guidance of their astute coach Marcelo Bielsa have made many new fans (including myself) with the quality of their performances.

On Week 1 of the new season they traveled to Liverpool and outplayed the champions at Anfield, which not many do, only to suffer a heartbreaking 4-3 defeat after conceding a last-minute penalty kick. Since that defeat, they have won their next two matches against Fulham and Sheffield United. I like their chances of getting something from this.

I can't bring myself to bet Leeds at 750 , but I do like Leeds on the handicap lines 1.5 goals at -110 (which is only a loser if City win by two or more goals).

The one thing you would expect in this one is goals, as both managers play football with attack in mind and both defenses are fragile. Over 3.5 goals in the match at -110 and both teams to score in the match at -175 are two wagers that also interest me.

BEST OF THE REST

In the other Week 4 fixtures there are two other plays I like and both kick-off on Sunday at 7 a.m. ET, so make sure you get those tickets in early.

My first wager is LEICESTER, who last weekend produced a scintillating display to beat Man City and they look a very nice price to continue their excellent form with a home win against West Ham at -150.

The Foxes are sitting pretty at the top of the EPL table with a 100 percent winning record after three matches. What’s really impressive is their scoring record, averaging four goals per match.

West Ham lost this fixture 4-1 last season and although they produced their best performance of the season in a 4-0 home win over Wolves last time out, it was arguably Wolves’ worst performance since they returned to the top flight and this is a real test.

 

West Ham are far too inconsistent to be trusted again with that kind of performance and with West Ham manager David Moyes still self-isolating due to contracting COVID-19 (take that as a good or a bad thing) I like Leicester here.

 

My second play is SOUTHAMPTON, who, although having a poor start to the new season, showed signs last week in their 1-0 win at Burnley that good results are not that far away.

The Saints were expected by many experts (including myself) to have a good season, but the results haven't gone their way. Still, the performance against Crystal Palace Week 1 and in the first half against Tottenham in Week 2 were good and they should be too strong at home against West Brom. I like their chances at -125.

West Brom managed to get their first points on the board in the new season in last week’s 3-3 draw with Chelsea, but they will be distraught not to get the win after throwing a three-goal lead away. In their three Premier League games this season they've conceded 11 goals. In-form Southampton striker Danny Ings versus the West Brom dodgy defense is where I expect this match to be won by the home side.

 

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