Best bets for VSiN's BetCast: Everton-Burnley

By Nigel Seeley  (VSiN.com) 

It was a huge week for winners on the VSiN EPL BetCast last week.

Our preview of the Aston Villa-Wolves match landed some nice plays when we predicted a 0-0 draw between the two city rivals, and in-play we had six plays and all six tickets cashed. We followed that up with six in-play wagers on Monday night when West Ham hosted Leeds and we cashed on five, including a + 1100 winner as West Ham defender Craig Dawson scored at the London Stadium.

We hope to keep it going at 12:30 p.m. ET this Saturday for live coverage brought to you from Goodison Park when Champions League chasing Everton host Burnley.

LISTEN HERE.

If you are new to the BetCast and aren't aware of what you are missing, all you have to so is back unders. Of the 22 matches we have brought you this season from the EPL, 16 of them have seen under 2.5 goals cash, and there is every reason to suggest that the run continues on Saturday. My main play is under 2.5 goals at -150.

In the last nine Everton home matches, under 2.5 goals has cashed seven times. Under 2.5 goals has also been a winner in 12 of the last 15 Burnley matches. Given the unders streak on the BetCast it might not be the most appealing of odds, but it looks a winner.

The two teams met earlier in the season in the reverse fixture which ended in a 1-1 draw and the last four meetings between the two sides have also seen unders. With Jordan Pickford and Nick Pope (the two best English goalkeepers) going up against each other to impress England manager Gareth Southgate, and with this summer's European Championships approaching fast, I am expecting a close match.

Many will look at the price on Everton and think that they should be bet at -110 but home defeats this season against Sheffield United and Crystal Palace should make you wary about placing that wager. Burnley are more than capable of out battling the big boys in the EPL, so I would approach and Everton win with caution.

Another reason why Everton might be worth opposing is because they have the unenviable task of taking on Manchester City next week in the FA Cup semi-final. With a chance of reaching Wembley and some silverware for the Toffeemen, you may well come unstuck if you take the Blues.

I couldn't make a case for Burnley though, not at + 350 as they are without a win in their last five and were smashed 4-0 by Tottenham in their last road match. Four of Burnley's last five matches have ended in draws, and at + 250 another tie looks the best value in the match markets. If you want a better price, a 1-1 draw at + 550 would be my idea of the most likely scoreline.

Both of these sides are deadly from set-pieces with both Everton and Burnley scoring a high percentage of their goals from corner kicks. Although the trend in the EPL this season has been to profit by going under on the corner line, I am bucking that trend in this one and I will placing a small wager on over 9.5 corners in the match at even odds, which looks a nice prop for neutrals to wager on.

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