It is a relegation battle this week on the EPL VSiN BetCast, when Brighton host fellow strugglers Newcastle at the Amex Stadium (kick-off 1:30 p.m. EST).
This match isn't going to be pretty, but saying that the matches that we have expected to be dull this season have been entertaining clashes with Brighton's 3-3 draw with Wolves at the start of the year the highest goal tally we have seen in a BetCast in the 2020-21 Premier League season.
I really can't see this match producing the goods, though, and even if a repeat of the 3-3 scoreline is available at a monster 80-1 odds, I won't be playing and I advise you to keep well away.
Under 2.5 goals, so often a winner in the VSiN BetCasts this season looks another winner at odds of -150, and the 7-1 odds on the game ending in a 0-0 draw will appeal to recreational bettors.
Brighton won the reverse fixture 3-0 earlier in the season at St James' Park and they are -150 to get a season double over the Magpies, which given their terrible home record is a price that I wouldn't touch -- not even with Pauly Howard's money.
The Seagulls have the worst home record in the Premier League with just one win in 14 matches, but Newcastle have the second-worst road record in the division and are the second-lowest road scorers. It’s very hard to make any case for either bet, even though Newcastle are available at what appears a very large-looking + 550 to get a vital win.
Steve Bruce's Newcastle side are now favorites for relegation and the chief reason is because of their injuries. They are still without top goal-scorer England striker Callum Wilson, second top goal-scorer Miguel Almerion and their most influential performer Allan Saint-Maximin; without that trio, they haven't won in five and scored just three goals.
I feel that Newcastle will travel down to the south of England with a gameplan not to get beaten and they will try to frustrate a Brighton side that create a lot of chances but find it impossible to convert them. On the match markets, the draw looks the best play at + 250.
With a recent 0-0 road draw at West Brom for Newcastle and two 0-0 draws in the last five home matches for Brighton, the 7-1 on another one looks value, especially as the two ended 0-0 last season and there have been three goalless draws between the two sides in their last six meetings.
Continuing my ante goal theme in this match, under 2.5 goals is available at -150 but both teams to score "no" is also the same price (-150) and has cashed in six of the last seven between these two sides. That looks like another wager to be added in the weekend parlay.