The VSiN EPL BetCast returns this Saturday with a nice matchup between two old rivals Arsenal and Manchester United from The Emirates Stadium, kick-off 12:30 p.m. ET.
This is a match that has a long history in the EPL, but although they are not the top dogs in English football anymore, this is still a huge fixture on the EPL calendar.
This season's Premier League has been one of the most random in the competition’s 29-year history and this match looks another very difficult one to predict the winner.
The bookies make Manchester United their marginal favorites with the visitors available at + 140 but the Red Devils have to improve massively on the shock 2-1 defeat in midweek at home against bottom club Sheffield United if they are to get their title challenge back on track on Saturday (United started that match as 28-1 outsiders).
Arsenal come into this match after arguably their best performance of the season with a very convincing 3-1 win at Southampton on Tuesday night and a win will see The Gunners complete their first double over United in a season since 2006-07. Many may be tempted by the + 180 available for Mikel Arteta's young side, but I am not so sure.
In the early betting markets the money has come for United, which isn't a surprise when you look at Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's road record away from Old Trafford this season (unbeaten in their 10 road games after eight wins and two draws). Despite that excellent record, I am not convinced by them either and I won't be taking the + 140 on another road. The best value on Saturday is certainly on the draw (tie), which is + 250.
If you stopped 100 soccer bettors on the Las Vegas Strip which way they believe this match would end, I would wager that the majority would say in a tie/ Yet the biggest odds on the match markets are on that eventuality, which makes no sense but it's because no bettor wagers on a tie.
This match has taken on big importance for United after the loss against Sheffield United and they may go into it much more cautious in their tactics and on the 2.5 goal market I would lean towards the under, which is available at + 105 with the overs -120 (remember the lack of goals in BetCasts this season). The majority of the big matches in the EPL have been where the fans have clearly been missed the most, which has seen a high amount of unders in those games. With some wet weather again forecast in London for Saturday, that would be in my thought process.
If you want a bit more juice in your price than a couple of props worthy of consideration are the match to finish in a 1-1 draw which is + 550 and with Arsenal having problems dealing with set-pieces (corners, free-kicks) all season I am going for giant defender and Manchester United captain Harry Maguire to score at anytime in this match at 10-1 after he scored United's only goal on Tuesday.
Hopefully we cash some tickets and I can give you some more winning wagers in-play on the BetCast.