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Best bets for UFC Vegas 19: Blaydes-Lewis

By Lou Finocchiaro  ( 


The UFC has staged five fight cards in 2021. Favorites are running 30-13-2, or 66.5%. Over the last several years, favorites have won about 64% of the time in the UFC.

This year’s Insight the Octagon profitability stands 4-4, showing a .10-unit profit.

Last week we took a loss with Maycee Barber + 115. She was one of two losses sustained in an overall set of wagers that realized a 4-2 record and 3.35-unit profit.

Insight the Octagon columns are published early in the week, and developments in today’s COVID-19 world can force changes, so my handicapping of each week’s card gets more focused, precise and refined as the week transpires.

Taking in midweek fighter interviews and weigh-ins about 30 hours before the card are foundational aspects of gaining advantages in UFC betting, besides fighter data and match-up projections. While I always try to release a sound wager each week, on occasion a release might not be available until later in the week. For that reason, my final releases are published Saturdays on VSiN.

This week UFC Vegas 19 features a whopping 15 fights. Most of the athletes are from the U.S., with a few shipping in to advance their careers. While last week’s slate was rife with obscure combatants, this card includes athletes that even the most hard-core fight enthusiasts have to study on film.

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