Favorites continued their tear last weekend, achieving a 7-2 mark in Saturday’s UFC Las Vegas 39 event. They now stand 48-11-1 (80 percent) over the last five fight cards. For the year, favorites are 221-113-11 (64 percent).
We’ve been able to profit over these last several cards by being in tune with where value was to be uncovered, whether with favorites, underdogs, round totals or propositions.
This week at the Apex in Las Vegas, we get another card riddled with obscure competitors that only hard-core fans will recognize, but it’s important to acknowledge that the rank-and-file fighters of the UFC need to earn and improve just as the stars of the organization do. While this card has few stars, it features talented mixed martial artists well matched against similarly versed foes willing to put it all on the line.
Aspen Ladd (-130) vs. Norma Dumont (+ 115)
Women's featherweight (145 pounds), main event
Ladd was scheduled to fight Macy Chiasson two weeks ago, but as has happened before, Ladd missed weight for that bantamweight bout and it was canceled. Ladd’s trouble making the 135-pound bantamweight level is well publicized, so this shift to featherweight makes sense. But it comes dangerously soon after her recent drama on the scale.