Live On Air

Streaming Now: The Lookahead

play Watch Live radio Listen Live

Best bets for Dolphins-Jaguars

By VSiN Staff  ( 


It may not be the most exciting Thursday Night Football Game, but all tickets cash the same. The Miami Dolphins travel up to Jacksonville to take on the Jaguars as small underdogs.

Handicappers Drew Dinsick and Dave Tuley give their takes on the game.


Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars (-3, 48)

Dinsick: The market has flipped on these teams since the preseason, as the lookahead line was Miami -1.5. This reaction isn't surprising as the Jaguars have been competitive in both games this season -- 1-1 against two divisional contenders -- with Gardner Minshew leading an offense that is Top 10 in EPA per play (0.22) and Success Rate (54%).

Meanwhile the Dolphins have gotten off to an 0-2 start with lackluster defensive performances against division rivals New England and Buffalo, resulting in a league-worst EPA per play allowed (0.27) and Success Rate allowed (57%). To make matters worse, the Dolphins will be without their big-ticket free agent CB Byron Jones and have a short week to fix the systematic problems with their defensive unit. The market adjustments based on this information are fair; Jaguars are the rightful favorites in this contest and the total has been bet up to a reasonable range (from the opener of 44 to 48) making this game a pass at the current numbers.

Pick: Pass

Tuley: This line has been wavering between Jaguars -2.5 and -3 all week with most books charging extra vig (-120 instead of the standard -110) to get the side you want.

Both these teams have continued to battle hard despite low expectations from experts and NFL fans.

The Jaguars have been good to bettors so far this season as Minshew led Week 1’s biggest upset of the Indianapolis Colts as 7-point home dogs and 265 on the money line, and then covered as a 7-point ‘dog again in Week 2’s 33-30 loss to the Tennessee Titans.

Still, there are a couple of things that put me on the Dolphins as 3-point ‘dogs. For starters, I have the Dolphins power-rated as the better overall team and I don’t think home-field advantage means that much without fans in the stands (besides, Miami to Jacksonville isn’t a taxing travel itinerary even on a short week). Also, when perennial underdogs like the Jags are then put in the role of favorite, they usually don’t fare so well. 

So, the play is on the Dolphins if you can get the 3, even if you have to pay the extra juice.

I also like Miami as a potential team in a teaser. I would tease the Dolphins up to 8.5 or 9 and use them (mixing and matching with the sides you like with your own handicapping) with the Patriots down to pick ‘em vs. the Raiders, Rams up to + 8.5 at the Bills, Browns down to -1 vs. Washington, Chargers down to pick ‘em vs. Panthers, Cardinals down to pick ‘em vs. Lions and/or the Buccaneers down to pick ‘em at the Broncos.

Pick: Dolphins + 3 (potential leg of a teaser)


back to news

FREE Email Sign-Up

Get the latest sports betting news & VSiN programming updates with this free daily email from VSiN, The Sports Betting Network.


View All
  • wisky

    Early CFB Week 9 Sharp Report

      Today bettors have a loaded Wednesday slate to choose from, including Game 2 of the World Series, 10 NBA games and 5 NHL games. For an updated...
  • USATSI_17034370

    Astros-Braves World Series Game 2 Best Bets

    The Atlanta Braves won Game 1, but suffered a huge loss in the process. Charlie Morton was hit in the leg by a comebacker and x-rays revealed a fractured...
  • Screen_Shot_2020-07-23_at_7.16.57_PM

    Jeremy Plonk's Best Bets for Thursday (10-21)

    Xpressbet editor-in-chief Jeremy Plonk offers his top plays for Thursday. Keeneland Race 4 (2:36 pm ET) #5 Mi Tres Por Ciento (3-1 ML) Trainer...
  • vontobel2

    Lessons learned from NFL Week 7

    As we chug along in this NFL season, I am going to talk about value, but in different ways. One is value in a team the market might realize is really...
  • kuhn

    Assessing the card for UFC 267

    (To view the chart associated with this report, subscribe to Point Spread Weekly.) Fight Island is once again open for business, and Saturday’s...
  • finocchiaro

    Best bets for UFC 267

    This week’s UFC 267 card changes things up with elite, recognized talent competing in the octagon. The event is on Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, so...
  • reynolds

    Best bets for PGA Bermuda event

    This week we expected two PGA Tour events, but the WGC-HSBC Champions event in China has been canceled due to COVID-19. Now the Bermuda Championship becomes...
  • macneil

    Early look at five NHL teams

    A couple of weeks into the new season, let’s check in on five teams.   Philadelphia Flyers   On the surface, everything seems...
  • appelbaum

    Five Week 8 games wise guys like

    It was a mixed bag for NFL Week 7 bettors as favorites went 8-5 straight up but dogs went 7-6 ATS. Dogs improved slightly to 58-49 (54.2 percent) on the...
  • hill

    NFL capsules for Week 8

    Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals We don’t have to wait long for the marquee matchup of Week 8 as the Green Bay Packers (6-1 SU and ATS)...
  • vontobel

    Early NBA takeaways

    Welcome to a new feature in Point Spread Weekly in which we recap the week that was in the NBA in an attempt to use that information as a handicapping...
  • tuley

    Tuley's Takes: NFL Week 8

    As I asked in my daily version of this column on Did you make money betting the NFL last weekend? (Visit for...

VSiN Logo Plus

Free Trial

Make a risk-free bet on VSiN!


  • Afternoon subscriber-only email with highlights and best bets from the day's programs
  • Point Spread Weekly, VSiN's digital magazine on sports betting
  • 24-7 Live video stream of VSiN programs plus replays
  • Any special sport-specified betting guides we do
  • All exclusive subscriber-only stories and data on
Sign Up Now


It's totally free

(Learn more about the player)


  • On your phone
  • In your home
  • In your car
Google Play
App Store