Behind the box score: CFB betting lessons from Week 7

By Adam Burke  (VSiN.com) 

USATSI_16963928

The college football regular season is more than halfway over. The conference championship games will be in Week 14, Army-Navy will have its own standalone spot in Week 15 and then it will be time for the bowl games. It feels like the season is flying by and it also feels like there are a lot of teams that are hard to figure out as Week 8 begins.

The seemingly endless inconsistency of this season, or “parity”, if you want to be nice about it, has led to a lot of “good game, bad game” patterns for teams across the country. For example, Texas A&M lost to Mississippi State the week before beating No. 1 Alabama. Purdue came off a bye to beat No. 2 Iowa on the road, but lost to Minnesota the game prior. A Minnesota team that lost to Bowling Green the week before that.

We’ve got our data points and all the stats and metrics, but we still don’t have many trustworthy teams this season. That means that you really have to do your due diligence and use whatever you can to try and get a read on a team before you bet on or against them.

One way to do that is by looking at the previous week’s box scores for some outliers or some misleading final scores. Let’s do that now for Week 7 as we look ahead to Week 8.

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