Behind the box score: CFB betting lessons from Week 13

By Adam Burke  (VSiN.com) 

November 29, 2021 06:48 PM
USATSI_17244813

The college football regular season mostly came to a close this past weekend. USC and Cal play this week and Army and Navy play in two weeks. Other than that, it will be conference championship weekend and then we’ll look ahead to the bowl games and the playoff.

As the offseason goes along, I’ll write about some teams to keep an eye on for the early part of 2022 and in the futures markets. For now, I’ll only look at the box scores from Week 13 for bowl-eligible teams only to see if there are things we can use for the bowl games or the championship games.

Ball State 20, Buffalo 3

Ball State beat Buffalo to finish 6-6 and will be under consideration for a bowl game. There are actually too many six-win teams, so some teams will be shut out. Maybe the Cardinals will be one of those teams. They beat Buffalo by 17 to at least be under consideration, but it wasn’t very pretty. Ball State was actually outgained 336-230, but finished + 4 in turnover margin.

Ball State did not have a scoring drive longer than 57 yards. With a win over a solid Army team, maybe Ball State makes a bowl. If so, they could be a good fade team, as their entire body of work is lacking.

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