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Behind the box score: CFB betting lessons from Week 11

By Adam Burke  ( 

November 15, 2021 07:36 PM

The college football season is officially winding down. There are still a lot of things left to decide, like the College Football Playoff and all of the bowl teams, so these last couple of weeks won’t lack drama. However, the performances that we see from teams could vary greatly based on what they have left to play for and some of the circumstances within the program.

The box scores of the games can serve as a guide to see which teams are still trying and which teams aren’t. We can also see the teams that got lucky or unlucky based on a number of factors to try and figure out what the future may hold for the remainder of the regular season.

We had some good ones in Week 11 as we look ahead to Week 12 and another round of games.

Michigan State 40, Maryland 21

Michigan State was thought to be in a tough situational spot after having their College Football Playoff hopes severely damaged against Purdue, but the Spartans beat Maryland. The yardage wound up being close at 481-447, with the Spartans holding just a 6.5 to 6.1 edge in yards per play. However, Michigan State had 18 fewer passing attempts and 19 more rushing attempts. Don’t just take yards per play on the surface. Keep the run/pass distribution in mind.

Still, this game could have gone a little bit differently, as Maryland got picked off inside the red zone on the first possession of the second half and also took a sack and an intentional grounding penalty while inside the MSU 5 that led to a missed field goal. The Terps also turned it over on downs three times.

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