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Behind the box score: CFB betting lessons from Week 10

By Adam Burke  ( 

November 8, 2021 08:49 PM

Another college football weekend has come and gone and given us a lot to think about moving forward. One top College Football Playoff team lost. Three of them flirted with a loss. And, of course, we saw a lot of fluky final scores in light of what actually happened in the game.

My process that includes college football box score study always uncovers something interesting and actionable for the following week and sometimes even multiple weeks as things become a trend. Week 10 was no different in that regard.

Eastern Michigan 52, Toledo 49

Holy MACtion! This was a very unexpected development, given that Toledo racked up 672 yards of offense and 49 points while being 118th in red zone efficiency and 116th in third-down conversion rate going into the game. Toledo had 8.62 yards per play to Eastern Michigan’s 6.28 and managed to lose the game.

The Rockets had three turnovers to just one for the Eagles, though Eastern Michigan did have the only turnover on downs. Toledo also had 206 yards on the last three drives of the game, trailing by 16, 10, and 3, while ending the game on a last-ditch lateral attempt.

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