We have worked our way through two weeks of NFL betting and it’s been an unusual season already. Several teams that looked fantastic in Week 1 floundered in Week 2 and vice versa. There are only seven undefeated teams left, and the only one that might not be considered a surprise is the defending champion Buccaneers. There are also seven winless teams. Bettors are already forming opinions about the teams, and in turn, those setting the odds try to take advantage of this.
You’ve probably read stories about how the books may have “lost” so far or something along those lines. That said, regardless of what has happened in the first two weeks, historically, Week 3 has had a penchant for evening the scales, so tread cautiously this weekend and perhaps have the courage to go “against the grain” in terms of what we’ve seen so far. Bettors who have done so have typically reaped the rewards.
I’m here to look at some NFL handicapping systems that have thrived in recent years, using logic that might not seem all that sensible. Backing these types of angles helps bettors avoid what I consider “traps.” Let’s take a look at six concepts you’ll want to consider as you prepare your wagers for this weekend, and figure out the games that will be affected:
1. Teams that start 0-2 SU in the NFL are 19-21 SU but 28-12 ATS (70 percent) against 1-1 teams in Week 3 since 2010