A.I. Pick of the Week (2/19)

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 

February 19, 2022 11:34 AM

We’ve been tinkering with the Artificial Intelligence programs at 1/ST BET, which gives us more than 50 data points (such as speed, pace, class, jockey, trainer and pedigree stats) for every race based on how you like to handicap.

Last week, we lost with Bold Journey in Aqueduct’s 8th race, but we’re still above .500 at 23-for-45 since taking over this feature. Based on a $2 Win bet on the A.I. Pick of the Week, that’s $90 in wagers and payoffs totaling $93.60 for an ROI of $2.08 for every $2 wagered.

This week, I ran the races picked by our stable of handicapping friends at “Team Tuley’s Thoroughbred Takes” through the 1/ST BET programs and came up with our A.I. Pick of the Week:

Saturday, Feb. 19

Fair Grounds No. 8 (4:25 p.m. ET/1:25 p.m. PT)

#1 Shinnecock Hills and #1A Strava (9-2 ML odds)

* This is the first time we’ve used a coupled entry as the A.I. Pick of the Week, but we like the play by our friend Ed Sehon in our Team Tuley column – and so does the A.I. from a value standpoint.

* Shinnecock Hills ranks 1st in 9 of the 52 factors used by 1/ST BET A.I. while Strava adds another 3 for a total of 12.

* Shinnecock Hills also ranks 1st in the “Top 15 Factors” at betmix.com with best average late pace while also ranking in the Top 5 in best speed at the track, best speed in his last 3 races and average earnings at the track. Strava is 1st in percentage of horses beaten and also Top 5 with average late pace.

* And jockey and trainer stats aren’t included in the betmix.com breakdown of this race, but we’re happy with Luis Saez riding Shinnecock Hills for Todd Pletcher and Tyler Gaffalione for Dallas Stewart.


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