A.I. Pick of the Week (10-16)

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 

We’ve been tinkering with the Artificial Intelligence programs at 1/ST BET, which gives us more than 50 data points (such as speed, pace, class, jockey, trainer and pedigree stats) for every race based on how you like to handicap.

Last Saturday, we lost with Don’t Wait Up in the Breeders’ Futurity at Keeneland to drop back below .500 at 14-for-29 since taking over this feature. Based on a $2 Win bet on the A.I. Pick of the Week, that’s $58 in wagers and payoffs totalling $57.80 for an ROI of $1.99 for every $2 wagered, the first time we’ve slipped below profitability. We need to go back on another winning streak.

This week, I ran Saturday’s plays from me and my handicapping friends in my “Tuley’s Thoroughbred Takes” column at vsin.com/horses through the 1/ST BET programs and came up with our A.I. Pick of the Week:

 

Saturday, Oct. 16

Keeneland No. 8 (4:44 p.m. ET/1:44 p.m. PT)

#4 Empress Josephine  (3-1 ML odds)

 

* Empress Josephine ranks 1st in 17 of the 52 factors used by 1/ST BET A.I. 

* This 3-year-old filly was actually our pick in the Grade 1 First Lady Stakes last Saturday at Keeneland and ran third. They’re bringing her back in just seven days, which I see as a great sign. She also ranks 1st in 7 of the “Top 15 Factors” at betmix.com, including best speed at the track, best average speed in her last three races and average earnings at the track.

* She also ranks in the Top 5 in 6 of the other 8 categories, including best speed on off tracks.

 

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