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50 head-to-head CFB trends

By Steve Makinen  (VSiN.com) 

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College football is defined largely by its traditions, and these traditions often lead to repeat performances. One of the best ways to observe this from a betting perspective is to analyze head-to-head series trends between teams. So let’s rip through 50 top head-to-head trends you’ll want to consider when building your weekly college football wagering lists.

Point Spread Weekly subscribers will get all the top head-to-head trends every week, starting with four games Saturday. That said, the trends herein are special, either by their record or the impact they might have on the season. I’ve grouped the trends into several categories and have shown the game dates when each will apply.

VSiN’s 2021 College Football Betting Guide is now available for order. Get access to over 300 pages of information, including over/under picks for all 130 FBS teams and our experts’ favorite season win total bets right here.

Lay the wood

• Favorites are on a 7-0 ATS run in the North Texas-SMU head-to-head series (Sept. 11).

• The chalk is on an 11-2 ATS surge in the Georgia-Auburn rivalry (Oct. 9).

• In the MAC series between Central Michigan and Toledo, favorites have gone 11-1 ATS in the last 12 (Oct. 16).

• Laying the points in the East Carolina-Memphis series has been quite profitable lately, with nine straight favorites covering (Nov. 13).

• With ATS wins in 15 of the last 16 series meetings, laying the points in the Tulsa-Tulane series has been nearly automatic (Nov. 13).

Analysis: Any trend going 15 of 16 is significant, and most bettors will probably gloss over the Week 11 game between Tulsa and Tulane simply because of the number of huge tilts on the schedule that week. That could be a wasted opportunity, as the better team tends to win when these teams get together. Last year Tulsa won 30-24, ending the Green Wave’s three-game winning streak. The teams are deemed fairly even going into the season, and the favored team might be decided by home-field advantage, in this case Tulane.

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