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2021 NFL Preview: Over/unders for every AFC East team

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VSiN’s 2021 Pro Football Betting Guide is now available for order. Get access to over 100 pages of information, including over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams and all our experts’ predictions right here.

Here is the 2021 pro football betting guide preview for the AFC East.

THE FAVORITE: BUFFALO BILLS 

Once ruled by the New England Patriots, the AFC East has a new favorite in the Buffalo Bills. At -150, the price implies that Buffalo has a 60% chance to win this division, and it is hard to quarrel with that. Should Josh Allen maintain his level from last season, in which he completed 69.2% of his passes and threw for 37 touchdowns, it would be hard to make a real case against the Bills. They have questions with defensive personnel, but given the status of other teams in the division, the AFC East still runs through Buffalo.

However, the division has improved from top to bottom. Miami is coming off a 10-win season, and big things are expected from second-year quarterback Tua Tagovailoa with a full offseason under his belt. The former Alabama quarterback was somewhat disappointing as a rookie, posting the third-lowest PFF grade (65.4) among quarterbacks who appeared in 10 or more games. New England revamped its offense completely, reverting to the two-tight-end set it employed to terrorize the NFL 10 years ago. Cam Newton, who threw 10 interceptions and only eight touchdown passes, will need to improve, but the Patriots should push for a playoff spot. 

The New York Jets will not likely reach those heights, but there is no denying the offensive personnel is solid. They have two first-round picks along the offensive line, perfect for breaking in rookie quarterback Zach Wilson. The Jets also have plenty of weapons at the skill positions for first-year coach Robert Saleh. Buffalo deserves its place on top of the division, but this will not be the same AFC East that took the field in 2020.

LIVE DOG: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Many will point to Miami (+ 350) as the live underdog in this division, but New England (+ 350) should be the first team to consider.

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