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1/ST BET A.I Pick of the Week (4-17)

By Dave Tuley  ( senior reporter) 

April 17, 2021 01:32 AM

We’ve been tinkering with the Artificial Intelligence programs at 1/ST BET, which gives us more than 50 data points (such as speed, pace, class, jockey, trainer and pedigree stats) for every race based on how you like to handicap.

Last Saturday, Concert Tour came up short as our top play, but we’re still 5-for-9 since taking over this feature. Based on a $2 Win bet on the A.I. Pick of the Week, that’s $18 in wagers and payoffs totalling $25.20 for a healthy ROI of $2.80 for every $2 wagered.

My “Tuley’s Thoroughbred Takes” team was given the week off, but my friend John Lauro still sent some spot plays at Oaklawn and we ran them through the programs to come up with our A.I. Pick of the Week in a wide-open Oaklawn Handicap:

Saturday, April 17

Oaklawn Race No. 9 (5:49 p.m. ET)

#2 Express Train (5-2 ML odds)

  • Express Train ranks 1st in 9 of 52 factors used by 1/ST BET A.I., which is tied for the most in the race with #3 Fearless as no entrant leads in double-digit categories. 

  • Express Train also ranks 1st in 3 of the “Top 15 Factors” at -- speed in last race, average speed in last three races and average best two of last three as he brings his “California speed” to Oaklawn -- and is in the Top 5 in 8 others.

  • The 4-year-old colt ranks 2nd in “in-the-money percentage,” and that comes vs. better competition than many of these have faced with a win in the Grade 2 San Pasqual and runner-up finishes in the Grade 1 Malibu Stakes and the Grade 1 Santa Anita Handicap.

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